Introduction
In 2025, tariffs are once again at the centre of economic headlines. The Trump administration’s decision to impose duties on certain Canadian exports—starting at 25% on most goods and 10% on energy and potash, later rising to 35% on select products as of August 1—triggered rapid retaliation from Ottawa and escalated into full-scale trade tension
While the political drama unfolds on news channels, CPAs face more immediate challenges. Tariffs don’t just shape trade policy—they directly affect financial reporting, tax strategy, and client decision-making.
This article explains what the new tariff environment means for Canadian CPAs, why it matters for accounting and assurance work, and how to advise clients through uncertainty.
Tariffs as Accounting Events
The U.S. initially applied broad tariffs in early 2025—25% on a wide range of imports and 10% on key resources such as energy and potash—later raising some Canadian duties to 35% on August 1. Importantly, CUSMA-compliant goods remain exempt, which means much of bilateral trade is still duty-free.
For CPAs, tariffs must be treated as direct accounting events, not background noise. According to Statistics Canada, sustained trade disruptions could place up to 600,000 Canadian jobs at risk, underscoring why boards are urgently revisiting forecasts and liquidity assumptions.
As CPA Ontario’s guidance on budgeting and forecasting emphasises, tariffs require immediate adjustments to budgets, MD&A disclosures, and risk assessments.
Common Misconceptions and Risks
A frequent misconception is that tariffs are temporary and can be ignored until they fade. In reality, treating tariffs as short-term events creates compounding risks.
Mistake |
Consequence |
Treating tariffs as “one-off” adjustments |
Underestimation of recurring COGS, weaker margins |
Ignoring tariff exemptions or credits |
Overpayment and reduced competitiveness |
Minimal disclosure in MD&A |
Risk of investor backlash and audit queries |
Not modelling cash flow impacts |
Liquidity shortfalls during tariff cycles |
Companies that delay treating tariffs as structural changes often face larger write-downs later—a trend repeatedly flagged by Canadian professional bodies.
For hands-on guidance, CPAs can explore the 2025 Package: Tariff War Survival Skills for CPAs, which provides scenario planning models, stress-testing tools, and disclosure templates designed for tariff volatility.
Case Study: Ontario Manufacturing
Consider Ontario-based manufacturers of auto components. Their products often cross the Canada–U.S. border multiple times during assembly. A 35% tariff on one intermediate good can compound into a 70–100% cost increase once the part is fully assembled and sold.
One firm—let’s call it AutoFab Inc. (hypothetical example) —assumed the tariffs would be short-lived. By delaying hedging strategies and withholding full disclosure, the company soon faced a liquidity crunch. Inventory valuations became unstable, leading to impairment charges and investor scrutiny.
Contrast this with another manufacturer that:
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Conducted early supply chain stress tests
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Secured exemptions under CUSMA’s rules of origin
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Diversified its supplier base
This second company’s financial statements showed resilience despite tariff escalation.
Looking ahead, uncertainty is rising as officials prepare for the 2026 CUSMA joint review. Given that the review could be influenced by tariff disputes, Canadian exporters face heightened planning risk.
For CPAs advising cross-border clients, the course Canadians and U.S. Taxation offers timely strategies on transfer pricing, double-taxation risks, and compliance requirements in a tariff-heavy environment.
Practical Guidance for CPAs
So what should Canadian CPAs do right now? Three actions stand out:
1. Reassess Forecasts
Incorporate multiple tariff scenarios into forecasting models. Adjust revenue recognition, COGS, and expense assumptions to reflect volatility. Use stress testing and sensitivity analysis to communicate risk to boards and lenders.
2. Enhance Disclosures
Tariff impacts should appear clearly in the MD&A sections. This includes:
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Specific exposure by product line or geography
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Mitigation strategies (e.g., supplier diversification, hedging)
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Liquidity planning for tariff escalation cycles
Transparent disclosures not only strengthen investor confidence but also reduce audit queries.
3. Educate Clients
Many executives still underestimate tariff impacts. CPAs play a critical role in translating policy changes into financial terms clients understand—whether that’s adjusting pricing strategies, rethinking capital expenditures, or restructuring supply agreements.
Remember: CUSMA’s rules of origin still shield a large portion of trade, but compliance documentation is more important than ever.
Conclusion
Tariffs are not just political maneuvers—they are accounting realities. For Canadian CPAs, the “Trump Tariff Turmoil” means revisiting assumptions, sharpening disclosures, and guiding clients through uncertainty.
Whether you’re advising a small Ontario manufacturer or a multinational enterprise, tariffs demand a structured, data-driven response.
To stay ahead of fast-moving trade dynamics while earning verifiable and unverifiable CPD hours, consider CPDFormula’s Unlimited Pass. It provides year-round access to courses on trade, taxation, and compliance, ensuring Canadian CPAs remain prepared for every policy shift.